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Skill Topic ยท Cinematic

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo!

โฎ๏ธ Previous: 51-Time-Series-Analysis | โญ๏ธ Next: 53-NLP-For-DS ๐Ÿ“‚ Section 7: Advanced DS Topicsโ€ฆ

Overview
๐ŸŒŸ

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo! โ€” Quick Facts

๐Ÿ“Œ

Method: Type

๐ŸŽฏ

๐Ÿ“ ARIMA: Statistical

โšก

โ„๏ธ SARIMA: Statistical

๐Ÿ”‘

๐Ÿ“ˆ Exp Smoothing: Statistical

Topic 1
โœจ

๐ŸŽฏ Is Topic Me Kya Sikhenge?

๐Ÿ“š ` โ•”โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•— โ•‘ ๐Ÿ“ˆ TIME SERIESโ€ฆ
Topic 2
๐Ÿ“ฅ ๐Ÿ“ฅ ๐Ÿง  ๐Ÿ”ฌ ๐Ÿ’ก ๐ŸŽฏ

๐Ÿ“Œ Forecasting Methods โ€” Evolution

๐Ÿ’ก ` 1950s โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€ 1980s โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€ 2010s โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€ 2024+ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ โ”‚ Simple ARIMA Prophet TimeGPTโ€ฆ
Topic 3
โœจ

1๏ธโƒฃ ARIMA โ€” AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average

๐ŸŽฏ ` ARIMA(p, d, q): p = AR order (kitne past values use karne hain) d = Differencing (kitniโ€ฆ
Topic 4
โญ

2๏ธโƒฃ Exponential Smoothing

โญ ` Exponential Smoothing Family: โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚โ€ฆ
Topic 5
๐Ÿ“ฅ ๐Ÿ“ฅ ๐Ÿง  ๐Ÿ”ฌ ๐Ÿ’ก ๐ŸŽฏ

3๏ธโƒฃ Prophet โ€” Meta's Forecasting Tool ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐Ÿ”‘ ` Prophet Architecture: y(t) = g(t) + s(t) + h(t) + ฮต(t)โ€ฆ
Topic 6
โœจ

4๏ธโƒฃ Forecast Evaluation โ€” Metrics

โœจ ` โ•”โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•— โ•‘ FORECASTING METRICS โ€”โ€ฆ
Topic 7
โœจ

๐Ÿ Full Python Class โ€” ForecastEngine

๐Ÿ’ก

ARIMA / SARIMA / Auto-ARIMA

๐Ÿ”‘

Exponential Smoothing (SES, Holt,โ€ฆ

โšก

Prophet

๐ŸŽฏ

Naive baselines

Topic 8
๐Ÿ“ฅ โš™๏ธ ๐Ÿ”ฌ ๐Ÿ’ก

๐Ÿ“Š Forecasting Decision Tree

๐Ÿš€ ` โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ” โ”‚ ๐Ÿ“ˆ WHICH FORECASTING METHODโ€ฆ
Topic 9
๐Ÿ“š

โ“ Quiz Time! (5 MCQs)

๐Ÿ’ก

a) 1 feature, 1 sample, 1 output

๐Ÿ”‘

b) AR=1, Differencing=1, MA=1 โœ…

โšก

c) 1 layer, 1 neuron, 1 epoch

๐ŸŽฏ

d) Train, Validate, Test split

Quick Quiz
๐Ÿง  QUIZ TIME

Quiz โ€” Question 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo! ka sabse sahi definition kya hai?

Quick Quiz
๐Ÿง  QUIZ TIME

Quiz โ€” Question 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo! ka '๐Ÿ“ ARIMA' kya hai?

Complete! ๐ŸŽ‰
COMPLETE

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo! Complete!

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โœ…

๐Ÿ“ˆ Topic 52: Time Series Forecasting โ€” Future Predict Karo! Complete

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